Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Journal articles
  4. Model-free computation of ultra-short-term prediction intervals of solar irradiance
 
research article

Model-free computation of ultra-short-term prediction intervals of solar irradiance

Torregrossa, Dimitri  
•
Le Boudec, Jean-Yves  
•
Paolone, Mario  
2016
Solar Energy

We propose an ultra-short-term dynamic interval predictor (DIP) of solar irradiance. Our DIP relies on experimentally observed correlations between the derivative of the solar irradiance and the forecast error in the next time-step. The main originalities of this DIP are (i) its independence from the method used for the point forecast of solar irradiance, (ii) its independence from the error distribution of the point-forecast method. We compare the DIP with the most common prediction interval methods. By using significant data set covering several months of experimental observations, we have observed higher accuracy and lower width of the prediction intervals of the proposed DIP.

  • Files
  • Details
  • Metrics
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name

2016 - Model-free computation DIP solar irradiance.pdf

Type

Publisher's Version

Version

http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85

Access type

openaccess

Size

1.49 MB

Format

Adobe PDF

Checksum (MD5)

0fc364ffc26ee6d84d2f7a4dc408a8f1

Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés