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research article

A Behavioral and Neural Evaluation of Prospective Decision-Making under Risk

Symmonds, Mkael
•
Bossaerts, Peter  
•
Dolan, Raymond J.
2010
The Journal of neuroscience

Making the best choice when faced with a chain of decisions requires a person to judge both anticipated outcomes and future actions. Although economic decision-making models account for both risk and reward in single-choice contexts, there is a dearth of similar knowledge about sequential choice. Classical utility-based models assume that decision-makers select and follow an optimal predetermined strategy, regardless of the particular order in which options are presented. An alternative model involves continuously reevaluating decision utilities, without prescribing a specific future set of choices. Here, using behavioral and functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data, we studied human subjects in a sequential choice task and use these data to compare alternative decision models of valuation and strategy selection. We provide evidence that subjects adopt a model of reevaluating decision utilities, in which available strategies are continuously updated and combined in assessing action values. We validate this model by using simultaneously acquired fMRI data to show that sequential choice evokes a pattern of neural response consistent with a tracking of anticipated distribution of future reward, as expected in such a model. Thus, brain activity evoked at each decision point reflects the expected mean, variance, and skewness of possible payoffs, consistent with the idea that sequential choice evokes a prospective evaluation of both available strategies and possible outcomes.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1523/JNEUROSCI.1459-10.2010
Web of Science ID

WOS:000283790800014

Author(s)
Symmonds, Mkael
Bossaerts, Peter  
Dolan, Raymond J.
Date Issued

2010

Published in
The Journal of neuroscience
Volume

30

Start page

14380

End page

14389

Subjects

Event-Related Fmri

•

Orbitofrontal Cortex

•

Human Brain

•

Portfolio Selection

•

Economic Value

•

Models

•

Representation

•

Systems

•

Choice

•

Compensation

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI-PB  
Available on Infoscience
December 16, 2011
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/75000
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