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research article

A robust asymptotic control model to analyze climate policy with CDR options

Babonneau, Frédéric
•
Haurie, Alain
•
Vielle, Marc  
August 1, 2025
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

A three-region optimal economic growth model is proposed to represent the global energy transition to net-zero emissions when carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies are available. The main features of the model are (i) the representation of the economy and energy use with nested CES production functions; (ii) the representation of climate policy through the use of a safety cumulative emissions budget concept; and (iii) the introduction of an international emissions trading scheme for the implementation of climate policy. Using an infinite horizon optimal control paradigm, several contrasting scenarios are analyzed both in an asymptotic steady state or “turnpike” point, and in an optimal transition to sustainability. This very compact model produces dynamic path simulations that are consistent with the main recommendations from IPCC for long term climate policies. The potential use of this simple model in future developments in climate and economic modeling is discussed.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105114
Scopus ID

2-s2.0-105005111647

Author(s)
Babonneau, Frédéric

KEDGE Business School

Haurie, Alain

Université de Genève

Vielle, Marc  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Date Issued

2025-08-01

Published in
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume

177

Article Number

105114

Subjects

Asymptotic steady state

•

Carbon market

•

CDR options

•

Economic growth

•

Optimal net-zero emissions

•

Robustness

•

Sustainability

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LEURE  
Available on Infoscience
May 26, 2025
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/250475
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