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research article

Monetary Independence And Rollover Crises

Bianchi, Javier
•
Mondragon, Jorge  
February 1, 2022
Quarterly Journal Of Economics

This article shows that the inability to use monetary policy for macroeconomic stabilization leaves a government more vulnerable to a rollover crisis. We study a sovereign default model with self-fulfilling rollover crises, foreign currency debt, and nominal rigidities. When the government lacks monetary independence, lenders anticipate that the government would face a severe recession in the event of a liquidity crisis and are therefore more prone to run on government bonds. In a quantitative application to the Eurozone debt crisis, we find that the lack of monetary autonomy played a central role in making Spain vulnerable to a rollover crisis. Finally, we argue that a lender of last resort can go a long way toward reducing the costs of giving up monetary independence.

  • Details
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Type
research article
DOI
10.1093/qje/qjab025
Web of Science ID

WOS:000743312400009

Author(s)
Bianchi, Javier
Mondragon, Jorge  
Date Issued

2022-02-01

Publisher

OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC

Published in
Quarterly Journal Of Economics
Volume

137

Issue

1

Start page

435

End page

491

Subjects

Economics

•

Business & Economics

•

fulfilling debt crises

•

sovereign default

•

policy

•

maturity

•

model

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI-LL  
Available on Infoscience
February 14, 2022
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/185321
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