Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Journal articles
  4. Evaluating the predictive abilities of mixed logit models with unobserved inter- and intra-individual heterogeneity
 
research article

Evaluating the predictive abilities of mixed logit models with unobserved inter- and intra-individual heterogeneity

Krueger, Rico
•
Bierlaire, Michel  
•
Daziano, Ricardo A.
Show more
December 1, 2021
Journal Of Choice Modelling

Mixed logit models with unobserved inter-and intra-individual heterogeneity hierarchically extend standard mixed logit models by allowing tastes to vary randomly both across individuals and across choice situations encountered by the same individual. Recent work advocates using these models in choice-based recommender systems under the premise that mixed logit models with unobserved inter-and intra-individual heterogeneity afford personalised preference estimation and prediction. In this study, we evaluate the ability of mixed logit with unobserved inter-and intra-individual heterogeneity to produce accurate individual-level predictions of choice behaviour. Using simulated and real data, we show that mixed logit models with unobserved inter-and intra-individual heterogeneity do not provide significant improvements in choice prediction accuracy over standard mixed logit models, which only account for inter individual taste variation. We make these observations even in scenarios with high levels of intra-individual taste variation and when the number of choice situations per decision maker is large. Also, the estimation of mixed logit with unobserved inter-and intra-individual heterogeneity requires at least seven times as much computation time as the estimation of standard mixed logit. Drawing from recent advances in machine learning and econometrics, we discuss alternative modelling approaches that can capture richer dependencies between decision-makers, alternatives and attributes.

  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.jocm.2021.100323
Web of Science ID

WOS:000701773200002

Author(s)
Krueger, Rico
Bierlaire, Michel  
Daziano, Ricardo A.
Rashidi, Taha H.
Bansal, Prateek
Date Issued

2021-12-01

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCI LTD

Published in
Journal Of Choice Modelling
Volume

41

Article Number

100323

Subjects

Economics

•

Business & Economics

•

mixed logit

•

unobserved heterogeneity

•

recommender systems

•

discrete-choice models

•

bayesian-estimation

•

preferences

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
TRANSP-OR  
Available on Infoscience
October 9, 2021
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/182038
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés