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research article

Parameter estimation for discretely observed linear birth-and-death processes

Davison, A. C.  
•
Hautphenne, S.  
•
Kraus, A.
2021
Biometrics

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, as the likelihood can become numerically unstable when data arise from the most common sampling schemes, such as annual population censuses. A further difficulty arises when the discrete observations are not equi-spaced, for example, when census data are unavailable for some years. We present two approaches to estimating the birth, death, and growth rates of a discretely observed linear birth-and-death process: via an embedded Galton-Watson process and by maximizing a saddlepoint approximation to the likelihood. We study asymptotic properties of the estimators, compare them on numerical examples, and apply the methodology to data on monitored populations.

  • Details
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Type
research article
DOI
10.1111/biom.13282
Web of Science ID

WOS:000530927000001

Author(s)
Davison, A. C.  
Hautphenne, S.  
Kraus, A.
Date Issued

2021

Publisher

WILEY

Published in
Biometrics
Volume

77

Start page

186

End page

196

Subjects

Biology

•

Mathematical & Computational Biology

•

Statistics & Probability

•

Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics

•

Mathematical & Computational Biology

•

Mathematics

•

galton-watson process

•

gaussian approximation

•

likelihood

•

linear birth-and-death process

•

saddlepoint approximation

•

likelihood-estimation

•

inference

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
STAT  
Available on Infoscience
May 21, 2020
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/168849
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