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  4. The Anatomy of a Cryptocurrency Pump-and-Dump Scheme
 
conference paper

The Anatomy of a Cryptocurrency Pump-and-Dump Scheme

Xu, Jiahua  
•
Livshits, Benjamin
January 1, 2019
Proceedings Of The 28Th Usenix Security Symposium
28th USENIX Security Symposium

While pump-and-dump schemes have attracted the attention of cryptocurrency observers and regulators alike, this paper represents the first detailed empirical query of pump-and-dump activities in cryptocurrency markets. We present a case study of a recent pump-and-dump event, investigate 412 pump-and-dump activities organized in Telegram channels from June 17, 2018 to February 26, 2019, and discover patterns in crypto-markets associated with pump-and-dump schemes. We then build a model that predicts the pump likelihood of all coins listed in a crypto-exchange prior to a pump. The model exhibits high precision as well as robustness, and can be used to create a simple, yet very effective trading strategy, which we empirically demonstrate can generate a return as high as 60% on small retail investments within a span of two and half months. The study provides a proof of concept for strategic crypto-trading and sheds light on the application of machine learning for crime detection.

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Type
conference paper
Web of Science ID

WOS:000509775000092

Author(s)
Xu, Jiahua  
Livshits, Benjamin
Date Issued

2019-01-01

Publisher

USENIX ASSOC

Publisher place

Berkeley

Published in
Proceedings Of The 28Th Usenix Security Symposium
ISBN of the book

978-1-939133-06-9

Start page

1609

End page

1625

Subjects

bitcoin

•

volatility

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI-GE  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
28th USENIX Security Symposium

Santa Clara, CA

Aug 14-16, 2019

Available on Infoscience
February 20, 2020
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/166389
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