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  4. Dissecting HIV Virulence: Heritability of Setpoint Viral Load, CD4+ T Cell Decline and Per-Parasite Pathogenicity
 
research article

Dissecting HIV Virulence: Heritability of Setpoint Viral Load, CD4+ T Cell Decline and Per-Parasite Pathogenicity

Bertels, Frederic
•
Marzel, Alex
•
Leventhal, Gabriel
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2018
Molecular biology and evolution

Pathogen strains may differ in virulence because they attain different loads in their hosts, or because they induce different disease-causing mechanisms independent of their load. In evolutionary ecology, the latter is referred to as" per-parasite pathogenicity". Using viral load and CD4+ T cell measures from 2014 HIV-1 subtype B infected individuals enrolled in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study, we investigated if virulence - measured as the rate of decline of CD4+ T cells - and per-parasite pathogenicity are heritable from donor to recipient. We estimated heritability by donor-recipient regressions applied to 196 previously identified transmission pairs, and by phylogenetic mixed models applied to a phylogenetic tree inferred from HIV pol sequences. Regressing the CD4+ T cell declines and per-parasite pathogenicities of the transmission pairs did not yield heritability estimates significantly different from zero. With the phylogenetic mixed model, however, our best estimate for the heritability of the CD4+ T cell decline is 17% (5%-30%), and that of the per-parasite pathogenicity is 17% (4%-29%). Further, we confirm that the set-point viral load is heritable, and estimate a heritability of 29% (12%-46%). Interestingly, the pattern of evolution of all these traits differs significantly from neutrality, and is most consistent with stabilizing selection for the set-point viral load, and with directional selection for the CD4+ T cell decline and the per-parasite pathogenicity. Our analysis shows that the viral genetype affects virulence mainly by modulating the per-parasite pathogenicity, while the indirect effect via the set-point viral load is minor.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1093/molbev/msx246
Web of Science ID

WOS:000419548800004

Author(s)
Bertels, Frederic
Marzel, Alex
Leventhal, Gabriel
Mitov, Venelin
Fellay, Jacques  
Günthard, Huldrych F
Böni, Jürg
Yerly, Sabine
Klimkait, Thomas
Aubert, Vincent
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Date Issued

2018

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Published in
Molecular biology and evolution
Volume

35

Issue

1

Start page

27

End page

37

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
UPFELLAY  
Available on Infoscience
January 2, 2018
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/143578
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