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research article

Estimation of pedestrian origin-destination demand in train stations

Hänseler, Flurin
•
Molyneaux, Nicholas  
•
Bierlaire, Michel  
2017
Transportation Science

We present a framework for estimating pedestrian demand within a train station. It takes into account ridership data, and various direct and indirect indicators of demand. Such indicators may include link flow counts, density measurements, survey data, historical, or other information. The problem is considered in discrete time and at the aggregate level, i.e., for groups of pedestrians associated with the same origin-destination pair and departure time interval. The formulation is probabilistic, allowing to consider the stochasticity of demand. A key element is the use of the train timetable, and in particular of train arrival times, to capture demand peaks. A case study analysis of a Swiss train station underlines the practical applicability of the proposed framework. Compared to a classical estimator that ignores the notion of a train timetable, the gain in accuracy in terms of root-mean-square error is between 20% and 50%. More importantly, the incorporation of the train schedule allows for prediction when little or no data besides the timetable and ridership information is available.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1287/trsc.2016.0723
Web of Science ID

WOS:000407460900013

Author(s)
Hänseler, Flurin
Molyneaux, Nicholas  
Bierlaire, Michel  
Date Issued

2017

Publisher

Informs

Published in
Transportation Science
Volume

51

Issue

3

Start page

981

End page

997

Subjects

origin-destination demand

•

schedule-based estimation

•

pedestrian flows

•

public transportation

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
TRANSP-OR  
Available on Infoscience
September 15, 2016
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/129359
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