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research article

The Swaption Cube

Trolle, Anders B.
•
Schwartz, Eduardo S.
2014
Review Of Financial Studies

We infer conditional swap rate moments model independently from swaption cubes. Conditional volatility and skewness exhibit systematic variation across swap maturities and option expiries (conditional kurtosis less so), with conditional skewness sometimes changing sign. Conditional skewness displays some relation to the level and volatility of swap rates but is most consistently related to the conditional correlation between swap rates and swap rate variances. From realized excess returns on synthetic variance and skewness swap contracts, we infer that variance and (to a lesser extent) skewness risk premia are negative and time varying. For the most part, results hold true in both the USD and EUR markets and in both precrisis and crisis subsamples. We design and estimate a dynamic term structure model that captures much of the dynamics of conditional swap rate moments.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhu015
Web of Science ID

WOS:000339952600002

Author(s)
Trolle, Anders B.
Schwartz, Eduardo S.
Date Issued

2014

Publisher

Oxford Univ Press Inc

Published in
Review Of Financial Studies
Volume

27

Issue

8

Start page

2307

End page

2353

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI-AT  
Available on Infoscience
August 29, 2014
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/106229
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