Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Journal articles
  4. An ecological and digital epidemiology analysis on the role of human behavior on the 2014 Chikungunya outbreak in Martinique
 
research article

An ecological and digital epidemiology analysis on the role of human behavior on the 2014 Chikungunya outbreak in Martinique

Roche, Benjamin
•
Gaillard, Beatrice
•
Leger, Lucas
Show more
2017
Scientific Reports

Understanding the spatio-temporal dynamics of endemic infections is of critical importance for a deeper understanding of pathogen transmission, and for the design of more efficient public health strategies. However, very few studies in this domain have focused on emerging infections, generating a gap of knowledge that hampers epidemiological response planning. Here, we analyze the case of a Chikungunya outbreak that occurred in Martinique in 2014. Using time series estimates from a network of sentinel practitioners covering the entire island, we first analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics and show that the largest city has served as the epicenter of this epidemic. We further show that the epidemic spread from there through two different propagation waves moving northwards and southwards, probably by individuals moving along the road network. We then develop a mathematical model to explore the drivers of the temporal dynamics of this mosquito-borne virus. Finally, we show that human behavior, inferred by a textual analysis of messages published on the social network Twitter, is required to explain the epidemiological dynamics over time. Overall, our results suggest that human behavior has been a key component of the outbreak propagation, and we argue that such results can lead to more efficient public health strategies specifically targeting the propagation process.

  • Files
  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
research article
DOI
10.1038/s41598-017-05957-y
Web of Science ID

WOS:000405907800021

Author(s)
Roche, Benjamin
Gaillard, Beatrice
Leger, Lucas
Pelagie-Moutenda, Renelise
Sochacki, Thomas
Cazelles, Bernard
Ledrans, Martine
Blateau, Alain
Fontenille, Didier
Etienne, Manuel
Show more
Date Issued

2017

Publisher

Nature Research

Published in
Scientific Reports
Volume

7

Article Number

5967

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
UPSALATHE1  
Available on Infoscience
September 5, 2017
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/140183
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés