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  4. Strategic Energy Planning under Uncertainty: a Mixed-Integer Linear Programming Modeling Framework for Large-Scale Energy Systems
 
conference paper

Strategic Energy Planning under Uncertainty: a Mixed-Integer Linear Programming Modeling Framework for Large-Scale Energy Systems

Moret, Stefano  
•
Bierlaire, Michel  
•
Maréchal, François  
Kravanja, Zdravko
•
Bogataj, Miloš
2016
Proceedings of the 26th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering
26th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering

Various countries and communities are defining strategic energy plans driven by concerns related to climate change and security of energy supply. Energy models are needed to support this decision-making process. The long time horizon inherent to strategic energy planning requires uncertainty to be accounted for. Most energy models available today are too complex or computationally expensive for uncertainty analyses to be carried out. This study proposes a concise multi-period Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) formulation for strategic energy planning under uncertainty. The modeling framework allows optimizing the energy system in a snapshot future year having as objective the total annual cost and assessing as well the global CO2-equivalent emissions. Key features of the model are a clear distinction both between demand and supply and between resources and technologies, a low computational time and a multiperiod resolution to account for issues related to seasonality and energy storage. The model is applied to a real case study and a Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) highlights the impact of uncertain parameters in energy planning.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.1016/B978-0-444-63428-3.50321-0
Author(s)
Moret, Stefano  
Bierlaire, Michel  
Maréchal, François  
Editors
Kravanja, Zdravko
•
Bogataj, Miloš
Date Issued

2016

Publisher

Elsevier

Published in
Proceedings of the 26th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering
Series title/Series vol.

Computer Aided Chemical Engineering; 38

Volume

38

Start page

1899

End page

1904

Subjects

Energy system

•

Strategic energy planning

•

energy modeling

•

Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP)

•

Uncertainty

•

Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA)

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
TRANSP-OR  
SCI-STI-FM  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
26th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering

Portorož, Slovenia

June 12-15, 2016

Available on Infoscience
June 20, 2016
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/126773
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