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research article

Initiating social tipping dynamics in energy transitions: A novel analytical approach for exploring feedback loops and intervention points

Campfens, Jair K.E.K.  
•
Duygan, Mert  
•
Binder, Claudia R.  
September 1, 2025
Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions

Social tipping dynamics illustrate how minor interventions can catalyse non-linear changes in energy transitions. Despite their importance, the feedback loops driving these dynamics are often analysed in isolation and predominantly qualitatively. This study addresses this gap by employing a novel analytical approach to systematically explore intervention points that trigger feedback loops as a mechanism for initiating social tipping dynamics. We applied this framework to Pully, Switzerland, a pioneering municipality that has ambitious energy targets. Cross Impact Balance Analysis was used to develop consistent scenarios, which were then analysed to identify dominant feedback loops, both stabilizing and reinforcing. Succession Analysis was employed to pinpoint intervention points that initiate social tipping dynamics and lead to the most desired scenario. Our research contributes to the empirical analysis of social tipping dynamics by providing a detailed understanding of the interplay between socio-technical factors for sustainability transitions.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.eist.2025.100973
Scopus ID

2-s2.0-85218900347

Author(s)
Campfens, Jair K.E.K.  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Duygan, Mert  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Binder, Claudia R.  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Date Issued

2025-09-01

Published in
Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions
Volume

56

Article Number

100973

Subjects

Cross impact balance analysis

•

Energy scenarios

•

Feedback loops

•

Intervention points

•

Social tipping dynamics

•

Succession analysis

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
HERUS  
Available on Infoscience
March 14, 2025
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/247830
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