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research article

A comparison of hydrological models with different level of complexity in Alpine regions in the context of climate change

Carletti, Francesca
•
Michel, Adrien  
•
Casale, Francesca
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December 6, 2021
Hydrology And Earth System Sciences

This study compares the ability of two degree-day models (Poli-Hydro and a degree-day implementation of Alpine3D) and one full energy-balance melt model (Alpine3D) to predict the discharge on two partly glacierized Alpine catchments of different size and intensity of exploitation, under present conditions and climate change as projected at the end of the century. For present climate, the magnitude of snow melt predicted by Poli-Hydro is sensibly lower than the one predicted by the other melt schemes, and the melting season is delayed by one month. This difference can be explained by the combined effect of the reduced complexity of the melting scheme and the reduced computational temporal resolution. The degree-day implementation of Alpine3D reproduces a melt season closer to the one obtained with its full solver; in fact, the onset of the degree-day mode still depends upon the full energy-balance solver, thus not bringing any particular benefit in terms of inputs and computational load, unlike with Poli-Hydro. Under climate change conditions, Alpine3D is more sensitive than Poli-Hydro, reproducing discharge curves and volumes shifted by one month earlier as a consequence of the earlier onset of snow melt. Despite their benefits, the coarser temporal computational resolution and the fixed monthly degree-days of simpler melt models like Poli-Hydro make them controversial to use for climate change applications with respect to energy-balance ones. Nevertheless, under strong river regulation, the influence of calibration might even overshadow the benefits of a full energy-balance scheme.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.5194/hess-2021-562
Author(s)
Carletti, Francesca
Michel, Adrien  
Casale, Francesca
Burri, Alice  
Bocchiola, Daniele
Lehning, Michael  
Bavay, Mathias
Date Issued

2021-12-06

Publisher

Copernicus Gesellschaft MBH

Published in
Hydrology And Earth System Sciences
Volume

26

Issue

13

Start page

3447

End page

3475

Subjects

Geosciences

•

Water Resources

•

Geology

•

Water Resources

•

snow cover

•

euro-cordex

•

surface processes

•

change scenarios

•

nash values

•

temperature

•

runoff

•

Switzerland

•

performance

•

resolution

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
CRYOS  
Available on Infoscience
March 11, 2022
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/186231
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