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conference paper

Mining Democracy

Etter, Vincent  
•
Herzen, Julien  
•
Grossglauser, Matthias  
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2014
COSN '14: Proceedings of the second ACM conference on Online social networks
ACM Conference on Online Social Networks (COSN'14)

Switzerland has a long tradition of direct democracy, which makes it an ideal laboratory for research on real-world politics. Similar to recent open government initiatives launched worldwide, the Swiss government regularly releases datasets related to state affairs and politics. In this paper, we propose an exploratory, data-driven study of the political landscape of Switzerland, in which we use opinions expressed by candidates and citizens on a web platform during the recent Swiss parliamentary elections, together with fine-grained vote results and parliament votes. Following this purely data-driven approach, we show that it is possible to uncover interesting patterns that would otherwise require both tedious manual analysis and domain knowledge. In particular, we show that traditional cultural and/or ideological idiosyncrasies can be highlighted and quantified by looking at vote results and pre-election opinions. We propose a technique for comparing the candidates' opinions expressed before the elections with their actual votes cast in the parliament after the elections. This technique spots politicians that do not vote consistently with the opinions that they expressed during the campaign. We also observe that it is possible to predict surprisingly precisely the outcome of nationwide votes, by looking at the outcome in a single, carefully selected municipality. Our work applies to any country where similar data is available; it points to some of the avenues created by user-generated data emerging from open government initiatives, which enable new data-mining approaches to political and social sciences.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.1145/2660460.2660476
Author(s)
Etter, Vincent  
Herzen, Julien  
Grossglauser, Matthias  
Thiran, Patrick  
Date Issued

2014

Published in
COSN '14: Proceedings of the second ACM conference on Online social networks
Start page

1

End page

12

Subjects

Data Mining

•

Voting Advice Applications

•

VAA

•

Vote Prediction

•

Dimensionality Reduction

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
INDY2  
INDY1  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
ACM Conference on Online Social Networks (COSN'14)

Dublin, Ireland

October 1-2, 2014

Available on Infoscience
September 11, 2014
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/106845
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