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  4. Meta-Learners for Estimation of Causal Effects: Finite Sample Cross-Fit Performance
 
working paper

Meta-Learners for Estimation of Causal Effects: Finite Sample Cross-Fit Performance

Okasa, Gabriel  
January 30, 2022

Estimation of causal effects using machine learning methods has become an active research field in econometrics. In this paper, we study the finite sample performance of meta-learners for estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under the usage of sample-splitting and cross-fitting to reduce the overfitting bias. In both synthetic and semi-synthetic simulations we find that the performance of the meta-learners in finite samples greatly depends on the estimation procedure. The results imply that sample-splitting and cross-fitting are beneficial in large samples for bias reduction and efficiency of the meta-learners, respectively, whereas full-sample estimation is preferable in small samples. Furthermore, we derive practical recommendations for application of specific meta-learners in empirical studies depending on particular data characteristics such as treatment shares and sample size.

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Type
working paper
Author(s)
Okasa, Gabriel  
Date Issued

2022-01-30

Subjects

meta-learners

•

causal machine learning

•

heterogeneous treatment effects

•

Monte Carlo simulation

•

sample-splitting

•

cross-fitting

Note

new updated version of a chapter of the PhD dissertation: https://www.alexandria.unisg.ch/265914/1/Dis5206.pdf

URL

arXiv

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2201.12692.pdf

PhD thesis

https://www.alexandria.unisg.ch/265914/1/Dis5206.pdf
Editorial or Peer reviewed

NON-REVIEWED

Written at

OTHER

EPFL units
TIS  
Available on Infoscience
April 7, 2022
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/186904
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