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research article

Bayesian Automatic Relevance Determination for Utility Function Specification in Discrete Choice Models

Rodrigues, Filipe
•
Ortelli, Nicola  
•
Bierlaire, Michel  
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April 1, 2022
Ieee Transactions On Intelligent Transportation Systems

Specifying utility functions is a key step towards applying the discrete choice framework for understanding the behaviour processes that govern user choices. However, identifying the utility function specifications that best model and explain the observed choices can be a very challenging and time-consuming task. This paper seeks to help modellers by leveraging the Bayesian framework and the concept of automatic relevance determination (ARD), in order to automatically determine an optimal utility function specification from an exponentially large set of possible specifications in a purely data-driven manner. Based on recent advances in approximate Bayesian inference, a doubly stochastic variational inference is developed, which allows the proposed MNL-ARD model to scale to very large and high-dimensional datasets. Using semi-artificial choice data, the proposed approach is shown to be able to accurately recover the true utility function specifications that govern the observed choices. Moreover, when applied to real choice data, MNL-ARD is able discover high quality specifications that can outperform previous ones from the literature according to multiple criteria, thereby demonstrating its practical applicability.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1109/TITS.2020.3031965
Web of Science ID

WOS:000776187400021

Author(s)
Rodrigues, Filipe
Ortelli, Nicola  
Bierlaire, Michel  
Pereira, Francisco Camara
Date Issued

2022-04-01

Publisher

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC

Published in
Ieee Transactions On Intelligent Transportation Systems
Volume

23

Issue

4

Start page

3126

End page

3136

Subjects

Engineering, Civil

•

Engineering, Electrical & Electronic

•

Transportation Science & Technology

•

Engineering

•

Transportation

•

discrete choice models

•

automatic relevance determination

•

automatic utility specification

•

doubly stochastic variational inference

•

variable selection

•

machine

•

prediction

•

regression

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
TRANSP-OR  
Available on Infoscience
April 25, 2022
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/187295
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