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research article

Leaning Against Boom-Bust Cycles in Credit and Housing Prices

Lambertini, Luisa  
•
Mendicino, Caterina
•
Punzi, Maria Teresa
2013
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

This paper studies the potential gains of monetary and macro-prudential policies that lean against house-price and credit cycles. We rely on a model that features Borrowers and Savers and allows for over-borrowing induced by news-shock-driven cycles. We find that policy that responds to changes in financial variables is socially optimal. Considering the use of a single policy instrument, both types of agents are better off when the interest rate optimally responds to credit growth. When we allow for the implementation of both interest-rate and LTV policies, heterogeneity in the welfare implications is key in determining the optimal use of policy instruments. The optimal policy for the Borrowers is characterized by a LTV ratio that responds countercyclically to credit growth, which most effectively stabilizes credit relative to GDP. In contrast, the optimal policy for the Savers features a constant LTV ratio coupled with an interest-rate response to credit growth. News-shock-driven cycles account for most of the gains from a policy response to changes in financial variables.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.jedc.2013.03.008
Web of Science ID

WOS:000321403200006

Author(s)
Lambertini, Luisa  
Mendicino, Caterina
Punzi, Maria Teresa
Date Issued

2013

Publisher

Elsevier

Published in
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume

37

Issue

8

Start page

1500

End page

1522

Subjects

Expectation-driven cycles

•

Macro-prudential policy

•

Monetary policy

•

Welfare analysis

Note

JEL classification: E32, E44, E52

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI-LL  
Available on Infoscience
September 12, 2013
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/94595
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