Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Conferences, Workshops, Symposiums, and Seminars
  4. Industrial European regions at risk within the Fit fo 55: How far implementing CBAM can mitigate?
 
conference presentation

Industrial European regions at risk within the Fit fo 55: How far implementing CBAM can mitigate?

Perdana, Sigit Pria  
•
Vielle, Marc  
September 5, 2023
24th Global Conference on Environmental Taxation

The EU climate neutrality target requires substantial changes in the energy system, and the transition toward deep decarbonisation might adversely affect economic activities. The proposal to implement the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) aims to support this transition by putting a fair price on the carbon emitted during the production of energy-intensive goods imported to the EU, boosting the competitiveness of the European industries. While the current analysis of the implementation of the CBAM focuses mainly on the EU aggregated level or at the Member State level, there is a wide consensus that the fit for 55 package will impact sectors, groups, and geographical regions quite differently. In this study, we couple a CGE model (GEMINI-E3) with a GIS detailing 278 European regions (NUTS 2). We study the impact of the fit for 55 within different configurations on regional employment. In a scenario without CBAM, job losses would amount to 675’000 in 2030. Introducing CBAM with scope 2 would reduce them by 300’000. Nevertheless, we find that the impacts are different at the regional level and that this regional inequality must be taken into account when discussing social acceptability. The most exposed regions are the coal mining basins (e.g., Dytiki Makedonia, Slaskie, and Yugoiztochen), which historically have seen the development of heavy industry and regions that have specialized in energy-intensive industries are also impacted (e.g., Arnsberg and Rheinhessen-Pfalz). The social impact of these job losses must, however, take into account other factors: first of all, the situation of the local labor market, and second, the region’s capacity to adapt to this energy and industrial transition. We complete our analysis with an analysis of the vulnerability of each of the regions. Considering these other elements give a different picture. South European countries (Greece, Spain, and Italy) and new member states from central Europe (Bulgaria, Roumania, Czechia) are much more vulnerable. The European Union's challenge will be to support these vulnerable regions effectively. Dedicated to this objective, the “Just Transition Fund” is a new instrument of the European Cohesion Policy in the context of the European Green Deal. Our analysis shows that the fund must concentrate on building adaptive capacity instead of introducing compensating mechanisms that fail in the past to overcome territorial inequality.

  • Files
  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
conference presentation
Author(s)
Perdana, Sigit Pria  
Vielle, Marc  
Date Issued

2023-09-05

Subjects

European Union

•

Carbon border adjustment

•

Computable general equilibrium model

•

jobs

•

energy intensive industries

•

employment impacts

•

Regional vulnerability

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LEURE  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
24th Global Conference on Environmental Taxation

Paris, France

September 06-08, 2023

Available on Infoscience
September 12, 2023
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/200683
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés