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  4. The Player Kernel: Learning Team Strengths Based on Implicit Player Contributions
 
conference paper not in proceedings

The Player Kernel: Learning Team Strengths Based on Implicit Player Contributions

Maystre, Lucas  
•
Kristof, Victor  
•
González Ferrer, Antonio J.
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2016
Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics 2016

In this work, we draw attention to a connection between skill-based models of game outcomes and Gaussian process classification models. The Gaussian process perspective enables a) a principled way of dealing with uncertainty and b) rich models, specified through kernel functions. Using this connection, we tackle the problem of predicting outcomes of football matches between national teams. We develop a player kernel that relates any two football matches through the players lined up on the field. This makes it possible to share knowledge gained from observing matches between clubs (available in large quantities) and matches between national teams (available only in limited quantities). We evaluate our approach on the Euro 2008, 2012 and 2016 final tournaments.

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Type
conference paper not in proceedings
Author(s)
Maystre, Lucas  
Kristof, Victor  
González Ferrer, Antonio J.
Grossglauser, Matthias  
Date Issued

2016

Subjects

machine learning

•

gaussian processes

•

prediction

•

data mining

•

sports analytics

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
INDY1  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics 2016

Riva del Garda, Italy

September 19, 2016

Available on Infoscience
September 6, 2016
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/129115
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