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Sentiment, Asset Prices, and Systemic Risk

Barone-Adesi, Giovanni
•
Mancini, Loriano  
•
Shefrin, Hersh M.
Fouque, Jean-Pierre
•
Langsam, Joseph A.
2012
Handbook on Systemic Risk

Regulators charged with monitoring systemic risk need to focus on sentiment as well as narrowly defined measures of systemic risk. This chapter describes techniques for jointly monitoring the co-evolution of sentiment and systemic risk. To measure systemic risk, we use Marginal Expected Shortfall. To measure sentiment, we apply a behavioral extension of traditional pricing kernel theory, which we supplement with external proxies. We illustrate the technique by analyzing the dynamics of sentiment before, during, and after the global financial crisis which erupted in September 2008. Using stock and options data for the S&P 500 during the period 2002–2009, our analysis documents the statistical relationship between sentiment and systemic risk.

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Type
book part or chapter
DOI
10.2139/ssrn.1953621
Author(s)
Barone-Adesi, Giovanni
Mancini, Loriano  
Shefrin, Hersh M.
Editors
Fouque, Jean-Pierre
•
Langsam, Joseph A.
Date Issued

2012

Publisher

Cambridge University Press

Publisher place

Cambridge

Published in
Handbook on Systemic Risk
ISBN of the book

9781107023437

Subjects

Systemic risk

•

Marginal expected shortfall

•

Pricing kernel

•

Overconfidence

•

Optimism

URL

URL

http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/mathematics/optimization-or-and-risk-analysis/handbook-systemic-risk
Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI-LM  
Available on Infoscience
August 15, 2013
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/94179
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