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research article

Threshold modeling of extreme spatial rainfall

Thibaud, E.  
•
Mutzner, R.
•
Davison, A. C.  
2013
Water Resources Research

We propose an approach to spatial modeling of extreme rainfall, based on max-stable processes fitted using partial duration series and a censored threshold likelihood function. The resulting models are coherent with classical extreme-value theory and allow the consistent treatment of spatial dependence of rainfall using ideas related to those of classical geostatistics. We illustrate the ideas through data from the Val Ferret watershed in the Swiss Alps, based on daily cumulative rainfall totals recorded at 24 stations for four summers, augmented by a longer series from nearby. We compare the fits of different statistical models appropriate for spatial extremes, select that best fitting our data, and compare return level estimates for the total daily rainfall over the stations. The method can be used in other situations to produce simulations needed for hydrological models, and in particular, for the generation of spatially heterogeneous extreme rainfall fields over catchments.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1002/wrcr.20329
Web of Science ID

WOS:000324838300008

Author(s)
Thibaud, E.  
Mutzner, R.
Davison, A. C.  
Date Issued

2013

Publisher

American Geophysical Union

Published in
Water Resources Research
Volume

49

Issue

8

Start page

4633

End page

4644

Subjects

spatial rainfall

•

extremes

•

max-stable model

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
STAT  
Available on Infoscience
November 4, 2013
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/96700
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