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  4. Solar Multimodal Transformer: Intraday Solar Irradiance Predictor Using Public Cameras and Time Series
 
conference paper

Solar Multimodal Transformer: Intraday Solar Irradiance Predictor Using Public Cameras and Time Series

Niu, Yanan  
•
Sarkis, Roy  
•
Psaltis, Demetri  
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February 26, 2025
2025 IEEE/CVF Winter Conference on Applications of Computer Vision (WACV)
2025 IEEE/CVF Winter Conference on Applications of Computer Vision (WACV)

Accurate intraday solar irradiance forecasting is crucial for optimizing dispatch planning and electricity trading. For this purpose, we introduce a novel and effective approach that includes three distinguishing components from the literature: 1) the uncommon use of single-frame public camera imagery; 2) solar irradiance time series scaled with a proposed normalization step, which boosts performance; and 3) a lightweight multimodal model, called Solar Multimodal Transformer (SMT), that delivers accurate shortterm solar irradiance forecasting by combining images and scaled time series. Benchmarking against Solcast, a leading solar forecasting service provider, our model improved prediction accuracy by 25.95%. Our approach allows for easy adaptation to various camera specifications, offering broad applicability for real-world solar forecasting challenges.

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