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  4. Estimating and predicting snakebite risk in the Terai region of Nepal through a high-resolution geospatial and One Health approach
 
research article

Estimating and predicting snakebite risk in the Terai region of Nepal through a high-resolution geospatial and One Health approach

Ochoa, Carlos
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Pittavino, Marta
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Martins, Sara Babo
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December 13, 2021
Scientific Reports

Most efforts to understand snakebite burden in Nepal have been localized to relatively small areas and focused on humans through epidemiological studies. We present the outcomes of a geospatial analysis of the factors influencing snakebite risk in humans and animals, based on both a national-scale multi-cluster random survey and, environmental, climatic, and socio-economic gridded data for the Terai region of Nepal. The resulting Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation models highlight the importance of poverty as a fundamental risk-increasing factor, augmenting the snakebite odds in humans by 63.9 times. For animals, the minimum temperature of the coldest month was the most influential covariate, increasing the snakebite odds 23.4 times. Several risk hotspots were identified along the Terai, helping to visualize at multiple administrative levels the estimated population numbers exposed to different probability risk thresholds in 1 year. These analyses and findings could be replicable in other countries and for other diseases.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1038/s41598-021-03301-z
Web of Science ID

WOS:000729935300068

Author(s)
Ochoa, Carlos
Pittavino, Marta
Martins, Sara Babo
Alcoba, Gabriel
Bolon, Isabelle
de Castaneda, Rafael Ruiz
Joost, Stephane  
Sharma, Sanjib Kumar
Chappuis, Francois
Ray, Nicolas
Date Issued

2021-12-13

Publisher

Nature Portfolio

Published in
Scientific Reports
Volume

11

Issue

1

Article Number

23868

Subjects

Multidisciplinary Sciences

•

Science & Technology - Other Topics

•

bites

•

prey

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LASIG  
Available on Infoscience
January 15, 2022
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/184550
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