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  4. Coupling satellite rainfall estimates and machine learning techniques for flow forecast: application to a large catchment in Southern Africa
 
conference paper

Coupling satellite rainfall estimates and machine learning techniques for flow forecast: application to a large catchment in Southern Africa

Matos, José P.
•
Cohen Liechti, Théodora  
•
Portela, Maria M.
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2013
Proceedings of 35th IAHR World Congress
35th IAHR World Congress

Accurate river flow forecasting is an important asset for stream and reservoir management, being often translated into substantial social, economic and ecological gains. This contribution aims at coupling satellite rainfall estimates and machine learning techniques for daily flow forecast. Two lead times, of 30 and 60 days, were tested for flows at Victoria Falls, in Southern Africa. Six distinct machine learning models were compared with optimized ARMA models and benchmarked against a Fourierseries approximation. Results show that the addition of rainfall data generally enhanced the performances of machine learning models at 30 days but did not improve forecasts at 60 days. Also, it was shown that traditional ARMA models do not make use of the rainfall information. Regarding a lead time of 60 days, the machine learning models appear to bear great advantages compared to ARMA models which, for such a lead time have shown practically no forecast capabilities.

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Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Matos, José P.
Cohen Liechti, Théodora  
Portela, Maria M.
Schleiss, Anton  
Date Issued

2013

Publisher

TPU

Publisher place

Chine

Published in
Proceedings of 35th IAHR World Congress
Issue

A11568

Start page

1

End page

12

Subjects

Artificial Neural Networks

•

Flow forecast

•

Kariba

•

Support-Vector Regression

•

Zambezi.

Note

[929]

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
PL-LCH  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
35th IAHR World Congress

Chengdu, Chine

September 8-13, 2013

Available on Infoscience
September 20, 2013
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/94753
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