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research article

Likelihood estimation of the extremal index

Süveges, Mária  
2007
Extremes

The article develops the approach of Ferro and Segers (2003) to the estimation of the extremal index, and proposes the use of a new variable decreasing the bias of the likelihood based on the point process character of the exceedances. Two estimators are discussed: a maximum likelihood estimator and an iterative least squares estimator based on the normalized gaps between clusters. The first provides a flexible tool for use with smoothing methods. A diagnostic is given for the condition under which maximum likelihood is valid. The performance of the new estimators were tested by extensive simulations. An application to the Central England temperature series demonstrates the use of the maximum likelihood estimator together with smoothing methods.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1007/s10687-007-0034-2
Author(s)
Süveges, Mária  
Date Issued

2007

Publisher

Springer, Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com

Published in
Extremes
Volume

10

Issue

1-2

Start page

41

End page

55

Subjects

Central England temperature data

•

Clusters

•

Diagnostic

•

Extremal index

•

Extreme value theory

•

Gaps

•

Local likelihood

Note

National Licences

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
STAT  
Available on Infoscience
August 23, 2019
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/160574
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