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  4. Robust Online Time Series Prediction with Recurrent Neural Networks
 
conference paper

Robust Online Time Series Prediction with Recurrent Neural Networks

Guo, Tian  
•
Xu, Zhao
•
Yao, Xin
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2016
Proceedings Of 3Rd Ieee/Acm International Conference On Data Science And Advanced Analytics, (Dsaa 2016)
3rd IEEE/ACM International Conference on Data Science and Advanced Analytics (DSAA)

Time series forecasting for streaming data plays an important role in many real applications, ranging from IoT systems, cyber-networks, to industrial systems and healthcare. However the real data is often complicated with anomalies and change points, which can lead the learned models deviating from the underlying patterns of the time series, especially in the context of online learning mode. In this paper we present an adaptive gradient learning method for recurrent neural networks (RNN) to forecast streaming time series in the presence of anomalies and change points. We explore the local features of time series to automatically weight the gradients of the loss of the newly available observations with distributional properties of the data in real time. We perform extensive experimental analysis on both synthetic and real datasets to evaluate the performance of the proposed method.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.1109/Dsaa.2016.92
Web of Science ID

WOS:000391583800086

Author(s)
Guo, Tian  
Xu, Zhao
Yao, Xin
Chen, Haifeng
Aberer, Karl  
Funaya, Koichi
Date Issued

2016

Publisher

Ieee

Publisher place

New York

Published in
Proceedings Of 3Rd Ieee/Acm International Conference On Data Science And Advanced Analytics, (Dsaa 2016)
ISBN of the book

978-1-5090-5206-6

Total of pages

10

Start page

816

End page

825

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LSIR  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
3rd IEEE/ACM International Conference on Data Science and Advanced Analytics (DSAA)

Montral, CANADA

OCT 17-19, 2016

Available on Infoscience
February 17, 2017
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/134430
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