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research article

Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting With Uncertainty

Saadatnejad, Saeed  
•
Mirmohammadi, Mehrshad
•
Daghyani, Matin
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2024
IEEE Robotics and Automation Letters

Recently, there has been an arms race of pose forecasting methods aimed at solving the spatio-temporal task of predicting a sequence of future 3D poses of a person given a sequence of past observed ones. However, the lack of unified benchmarks and limited uncertainty analysis have hindered progress in the field. To address this, we first develop an open-source library for human pose forecasting, including multiple models, supporting several datasets, and employing standardized evaluation metrics, with the aim of promoting research and moving toward a unified and consistent evaluation. Second, we devise two types of uncertainty in the problem to increase performance and convey better trust: 1) we propose a method for modeling aleatoric uncertainty by using uncertainty priors to inject knowledge about the pattern of uncertainty. This focuses the capacity of the model in the direction of more meaningful supervision while reducing the number of learned parameters and improving stability; 2) we introduce a novel approach for quantifying the epistemic uncertainty of any model through clustering and measuring the entropy of its assignments. Our experiments demonstrate up to 25% improvements in forecasting at short horizons, with no loss on longer horizons on Human3.6 M, AMSS, and 3DPW datasets, and better performance in uncertainty estimation. The code is available online.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1109/LRA.2024.3374188
Author(s)
Saadatnejad, Saeed  
Mirmohammadi, Mehrshad
Daghyani, Matin
Saremi, Parham
Benisi, Yashar Zoroofchi
Alimohammadi, Amirhossein
Tehraninasab, Zahra
Mordan, Taylor
Alahi, Alexandre  
Date Issued

2024

Published in
IEEE Robotics and Automation Letters
Volume

9

Issue

5

Start page

4447

End page

4454

Subjects

Uncertainty

•

Pose Forecasting

•

Attention Mechanism

URL

Project page

https://github.com/vita-epfl/UnPOSed

arxiv

https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.06707
Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
VITA  
Available on Infoscience
April 10, 2024
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/207034
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