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  4. Deriving fragility functions from bilinearized capacity curves for earthquake scenario modelling using the conditional spectrum
 
research article

Deriving fragility functions from bilinearized capacity curves for earthquake scenario modelling using the conditional spectrum

Michel, Clotaire
•
Crowley, Helen
•
Hannewald, Pia  
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October 1, 2018
Bulletin Of Earthquake Engineering

The development of fragility curves to perform seismic scenario-based risk assessment requires a fully probabilistic procedure in order to account for uncertainties at each step of the computation. This is especially true when developing fragility curves conditional on an Intensity Measure that is directly available from a ground-motion prediction equation. In this study, we propose a new derivation method that uses realistic spectra instead of design spectral shapes or uniform hazard spectra and allows one to easily account for the features of the site-specific hazard that influences the fragility, without using non-linear dynamic analysis. The proposed method has been applied to typical school building types in the city of Basel (Switzerland) and the results have been compared to the standard practice in Europe. The results confirm that fragility curves are scenario dependent and are particularly sensitive to the magnitude of the earthquake scenario. The same background theory used for the derivation of the fragility curves has allowed an innovative method to be proposed for the conversion of fragility curves to a common IM (i.e. spectral acceleration or PGA). This conversion is the only way direct comparisons of fragility curves can be made and is useful when inter-period correlation cannot be used in scenario loss assessment. Moreover, such conversion is necessary to compare and verify newly developed curves against those from previous studies. Conversion to macroseismic intensity is also relevant for the comparison between mechanical-based and empirical fragility curves, in order to detect possible biases.

  • Details
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Type
research article
DOI
10.1007/s10518-018-0371-3
Web of Science ID

WOS:000443553700013

Author(s)
Michel, Clotaire
Crowley, Helen
Hannewald, Pia  
Lestuzzi, Pierino  
Fah, Donat
Date Issued

2018-10-01

Publisher

SPRINGER

Published in
Bulletin Of Earthquake Engineering
Volume

16

Issue

10

Start page

4639

End page

4660

Subjects

Engineering, Geological

•

Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

•

Engineering

•

Geology

•

fragility curves

•

vulnerability assessment

•

conditional spectrum

•

uncertainties

•

inter-period correlation

•

mechanical method

•

vulnerability assessment

•

regression-analysis

•

mcs intensity

•

buildings

•

damage

•

switzerland

•

prediction

•

parameters

•

amplitude

•

europe

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
IIC  
Available on Infoscience
December 13, 2018
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/152542
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