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research article

Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol-cloud interactions in the climate system

Seinfeld, J. H.
•
Bretherton, C.
•
Carslaw, K. S.
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2016
Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America (PNAS)

The effect of an increase in atmospheric aerosol concentrations on the distribution and radiative properties of Earth's clouds is the most uncertain component of the overall global radiative forcing from preindustrial time. General circulation models (GCMs) are the tool for predicting future climate, but the treatment of aerosols, clouds, and aerosol-cloud radiative effects carries large uncertainties that directly affect GCM predictions, such as climate sensitivity. Predictions are hampered by the large range of scales of interaction between various components that need to be captured. Observation systems (remote sensing, in situ) are increasingly being used to constrain predictions, but significant challenges exist, to some extent because of the large range of scales and the fact that the various measuring systems tend to address different scales. Fine-scale models represent clouds, aerosols, and aerosol-cloud interactions with high fidelity but do not include interactions with the larger scale and are therefore limited from a climatic point of view. We suggest strategies for improving estimates of aerosol-cloud relationships in climate models, for new remote sensing and in situ measurements, and for quantifying and reducing model uncertainty.

  • Details
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Type
research article
DOI
10.1073/pnas.1514043113
Author(s)
Seinfeld, J. H.
Bretherton, C.
Carslaw, K. S.
Coe, H.
DeMott, P. J.
Dunlea, E. J.
Feingold, G.
Ghan, S.
Guenther, A. B.
Kahn, R.
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Date Issued

2016

Publisher

National Academy of Sciences

Published in
Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America (PNAS)
Volume

113

Start page

5781

End page

5790

Subjects

Aerosol-cloud effects

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Climate

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General circulation models

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Radiative forcing

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Satellite observations

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hydrocarbon

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aerosol

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altitude

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Article

•

boundary layer

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chemical composition

•

climate

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climate change

•

cloud

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concentration (parameters)

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humidity

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mineral dust

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particle size

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physical chemistry

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priority journal

•

radiative forcing

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remote sensing

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solar radiation

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thermodynamics

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turbulent flow

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uncertainty

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water content

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water cycle

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wettability

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

OTHER

EPFL units
LAPI  
Available on Infoscience
October 15, 2018
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/148903
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