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research article

Simulations of driven overdamped frictionless hard spheres

Lerner, Edan
•
Düring, Gustavo
•
Wyart, Matthieu  
2013
Computer Physics Communications

Microsimulation of urban systems evolution requires synthetic population as a key input. Currently, the focus is on treating synthesis as a fitting problem and thus various techniques have been developed, including Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) and Combinatorial Optimization based techniques. The key shortcomings of these procedures include: (a) fitting of one contingency table, while there may be other solutions matching the available data (b) due to cloning rather than true synthesis of the population, losing the heterogeneity that may not have been captured in the microdata (c) over reliance on the accuracy of the data to determine the cloning weights (d) poor scalability with respect to the increase in number of attributes of the synthesized agents. In order to overcome these shortcomings, we propose a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation based approach. Partial views of the joint distribution of agent's attributes that are available from various data sources can be used to simulate draws from the original distribution. The real population from Swiss census is used to compare the performance of simulation based synthesis with the standard IPF. The standard root mean square error statistics indicated that even the worst case simulation based synthesis (SRMSE = 0.35) outperformed the best case IPF synthesis (SRMSE = 0.64). We also used this methodology to generate the synthetic population for Brussels, Belgium where the data availability was highly limited. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.cpc.2012.10.020
Author(s)
Lerner, Edan
Düring, Gustavo
Wyart, Matthieu  
Date Issued

2013

Publisher

Elsevier

Published in
Computer Physics Communications
Volume

184

Issue

3

Start page

628

End page

637

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

OTHER

EPFL units
PCSL  
Available on Infoscience
October 18, 2016
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/130505
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