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research article

Control of Interbank Contagion Under Partial Information

Amini, Hamed
•
Minca, Andreea
•
Sulem, Agnes
2015
Siam Journal On Financial Mathematics

We consider a stylized core-periphery financial network in which links lead to the creation of projects in the outside economy but make banks prone to contagion risk. The controller seeks to maximize, under budget constraints, the value of the financial system defined as the total number of projects. Under partial information on interbank links, revealed in conjunction with the spread of contagion, the optimal control problem is shown to become a Markov decision problem. We determine the optimal intervention policy by using dynamic programming. Our numerical results show that the value of the system depends on the connectivity in a nonmonotonous way: it first increases with connectivity and then decreases with connectivity. The maximum value attained depends critically on the budget of the controller. Moreover, we show that for highly connected systems, it is optimal to increase the rate of intervention in the peripheral banks rather than in core banks.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1137/140981538
Web of Science ID

WOS:000367013000042

Author(s)
Amini, Hamed
Minca, Andreea
Sulem, Agnes
Date Issued

2015

Publisher

Siam Publications

Published in
Siam Journal On Financial Mathematics
Volume

6

Issue

1

Start page

1195

End page

1219

Subjects

systemic risk

•

optimal control

•

financial networks

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI  
Available on Infoscience
February 16, 2016
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/123618
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