Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Journal articles
  4. Physical and economic consequences of sea-level rise: A coupled GIS and CGE analysis under uncertainties
 
research article

Physical and economic consequences of sea-level rise: A coupled GIS and CGE analysis under uncertainties

Joshi, Santosh Ram  
•
Vielle, Marc  
•
Babonneau, Frédéric Louis François  
Show more
2016
Environmental and Resource Economics

This paper develops a modelling framework that links GEMINI-E3, a multi-regional, multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium model with a cost-benefit analysis approach at local level using geographical information system tools to assess the physical and economic consequences of sea-level rise (SLR) in the twenty first century. A set of future scenarios is developed spanning the uncertainties related to global warming, the parameters of semi-empirical SLR estimates, and coastal developments (cropland, urban areas and population). The importance of incorporating uncertainties regarding coastal development is highlighted. The simulation results suggest that the potential development of future coastal areas is a greater source of uncertainty than the parameters of SLR itself in terms of the economic consequences of SLR. At global level, the economic impact of SLR could be significant when loss of productive land along with loss of capital and forced displacement of populations are considered. Furthermore, highly urbanised and densely populated coastal areas of South East Asia, Australia and New Zealand are likely to suffer significantly if no protective measures are taken. Hence, it is suggested that coastal areas needs to be protected to ameliorate the overall welfare cost across various regions.

  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
research article
DOI
10.1007/s10640-015-9927-8
Web of Science ID

WOS:000389634400007

Author(s)
Joshi, Santosh Ram  
Vielle, Marc  
Babonneau, Frédéric Louis François  
Edwards, Niel R.
Holden, Phil B.
Date Issued

2016

Publisher

Springer Verlag

Published in
Environmental and Resource Economics
Volume

65

Issue

4

Start page

813

End page

839

Subjects

Climate change

•

Sea-level rise

•

Computable general equilibrium model

•

Costal impacts

•

Uncertainty

•

Adaptation

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LEURE  
Available on Infoscience
February 18, 2014
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/100909
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés