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research article

Vulnerability of the economy to the potential disturbances of energy supply: A logic-based model with application to the case of China

Gnansounou, Edgard  
•
Dong, Jun
2010
Energy Policy

The disturbances of energy supply that may result from both external and domestic events create a significant threat for national economy due to potential impacts on the productivity, employment and overall economic growth. Building scenarios of the economy's vulnerability to these disturbances is delicate because of the significant number of interrelated factors that should be taken into consideration. In this paper, a logic-based model (LBM) is developed, which allows for defining, exploring and assessing the determinants and the indicators of the economy's vulnerability related to the energy supply disturbances within a coherent scenarios assessment framework. The proposed model is illustrated with the case of China. After developing the general framework, three particular scenarios are investigated. Based on the case study, the performance and limitations of the model are analyzed, and its ability to evaluate national energy policies is discussed. Finally, some recommendations for further improvements are made.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.enpol.2010.01.017
Web of Science ID

WOS:000278055700035

Author(s)
Gnansounou, Edgard  
Dong, Jun
Date Issued

2010

Publisher

Elsevier

Published in
Energy Policy
Volume

38

Issue

6

Start page

2846

End page

2857

Subjects

Economy’s vulnerability

•

Energy supply

•

China

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
GR-GN  
Available on Infoscience
February 15, 2010
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/47406
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