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research article

Intraday solar irradiance forecasting using public cameras

Sarkis, Roy  
•
Oguz, Ilker  
•
Psaltis, Demetri  
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June 1, 2024
Solar Energy

With the significant increase in photovoltaic (PV) electricity generation, more attention has been given to PV power forecasting. Indeed, accurate forecasting allows power grid operators to better schedule and dispatch their assets, such as energy storage systems and reserve. In this paper, a hybrid deep learning model and a convolutional neural network with memory is proposed, to provide intraday (2 h) solar irradiance forecasts using sequentially -collected images from public webcams. The performance of the proposed model is compared to those of a standard time -series forecast models, a linear regression as well as state-of-the-art neural networks. All models are trained and tested using images collected from two webcams on EPFL's campus for just over a year. The results show that the proposed method outperforms all other models and matches the state-of-the-art methodology while providing simplicity of implementation and efficient computation.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.solener.2024.112600
Web of Science ID

WOS:001248361800001

Author(s)
Sarkis, Roy  
•
Oguz, Ilker  
•
Psaltis, Demetri  
•
Paolone, Mario  
•
Moser, Christophe  
•
Lambertini, Luisa  
Date Issued

2024-06-01

Publisher

Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd

Published in
Solar Energy
Volume

275

Article Number

112600

Subjects

Technology

•

Public Webcams

•

Machine Learning

•

Deep Neural Network

•

Cnn

•

Lstm

•

Ghi

Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LAPD  
LO  
DESL  
FunderGrant Number

College of Management of Technol-ogy (CDM) at EPFL

Available on Infoscience
July 3, 2024
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/209086
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