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  4. Enabling Uncertainty Estimation in Iterative Neural Networks
 
conference paper

Enabling Uncertainty Estimation in Iterative Neural Networks

Durasov, Nikita  
•
Oner, Doruk  
•
Donier, Jonathan
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May 24, 2024
International Conference on Machine Learning
41st International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) 2024

Turning pass-through network architectures into iterative ones, which use their own output as input, is a well-known approach for boosting performance. In this paper, we argue that such architectures offer an additional benefit: The convergence rate of their successive outputs is highly correlated with the accuracy of the value to which they converge. Thus, we can use the convergence rate as a useful proxy for uncertainty. This results in an approach to uncertainty estimation that provides state-of-the-art estimates at a much lower computational cost than techniques like Ensembles, and without requiring any modifications to the original iterative model. We demonstrate its practical value by embedding it in two application domains: road detection in aerial images and the estimation of aerodynamic properties of 2D and 3D shapes.

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http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85

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