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research article

Resilience To Contagion In Financial Networks

Amini, Hamed  
•
Cont, Rama
•
Minca, Andreea
2016
Mathematical Finance

We derive rigorous asymptotic results for the magnitude of contagion in a large counterparty network and give an analytical expression for the asymptotic fraction of defaults, in terms of network characteristics. Our results extend previous studies on contagion in random graphs to inhomogeneous-directed graphs with a given degree sequence and arbitrary distribution of weights. We introduce a criterion for the resilience of a large financial network to the insolvency of a small group of financial institutions and quantify how contagion amplifies small shocks to the network. Our results emphasize the role played by contagious links and show that institutions which contribute most to network instability have both large connectivity and a large fraction of contagious links. The asymptotic results show good agreement with simulations for networks with realistic sizes.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1111/mafi.12051
Web of Science ID

WOS:000372271600005

Author(s)
Amini, Hamed  
Cont, Rama
Minca, Andreea
Date Issued

2016

Publisher

Wiley-Blackwell

Published in
Mathematical Finance
Volume

26

Issue

2

Start page

329

End page

365

Subjects

systemic risk

•

default contagion

•

random graphs

•

interbank network

•

financial stability

•

macroprudential regulation

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI  
Available on Infoscience
July 19, 2016
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/127375
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