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research article

Emerging predictable features of replicated biological invasion fronts

Giometto, Andrea  
•
Rinaldo, A.  
•
Carrara, Francesco  
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2013
Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America (PNAS)

Biological dispersal shapes species' distribution and affects their coexistence. The spread of organisms governs the dynamics of invasive species, the spread of pathogens, and the shifts in species ranges due to climate or environmental change. Despite its relevance for fundamental ecological processes, however, replicated experimentation on biological dispersal is lacking, and current assessments point at inherent limitations to predictability, even in the simplest ecological settings. In contrast, we show, by replicated experimentation on the spread of the ciliate Tetrahymena sp. in linear landscapes, that information on local unconstrained movement and reproduction allows us to predict reliably the existence and speed of traveling waves of invasion at themacroscopic scale. Furthermore, a theoretical approach introducing demographic stochasticity in the Fisher-Kolmogorov framework of reaction-diffusion processes captures the observed fluctuations in range expansions. Therefore, predictability of the key features of biological dispersal overcomes the inherent biological stochasticity. Our results establish a causal link from the short-term individual level to the long-term, broad-scale population patterns and may be generalized, possibly providing a general predictive framework for biological invasions in natural environments.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1073/pnas.1321167110
Author(s)
Giometto, Andrea  
Rinaldo, A.  
Carrara, Francesco  
Altermatt, Florian
Date Issued

2013

Publisher

National Academy of Sciences

Published in
Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America (PNAS)
Volume

111

Issue

1

Start page

297

End page

301

Subjects

Fisher wave

•

microcosm

•

colonization

•

spatial

•

frontiers

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
ECHO  
Available on Infoscience
January 13, 2014
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/99472
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