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research article

Learning to bid in forward electricity markets using a no-regret algorithm

Getaneh Abate, Arega
•
Majdi, Dorsa
•
Kazempour, Jalal
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September 2024
Electric Power Systems Research

It is a common practice in the current literature of electricity markets to use game-theoretic approaches for strategic price bidding. However, they generally rely on the assumption that the strategic bidders have prior knowledge of rival bids, either perfectly or with some uncertainty. This is not necessarily a realistic assumption. This paper takes a different approach by relaxing such an assumption and exploits a no-regret learning algorithm for repeated games. In particular, by using the a posteriori information about rivals’ bids, a learner can implement a no-regret algorithm to optimize her/his decision making. Given this information, we utilize a multiplicative weight-update algorithm, adapting bidding strategies over multiple rounds of an auction to minimize her/his regret. Our numerical results show that when the proposed learning approach is used the social cost and the market-clearing prices can be higher than those corresponding to the classical game-theoretic approaches. The takeaway for market regulators is that electricity markets might be exposed to greater market power of suppliers than what classical analysis shows.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.epsr.2024.110693
Author(s)
Getaneh Abate, Arega

Technical University of Denmark

Majdi, Dorsa

Sharif University of Technology

Kazempour, Jalal

Technical University of Denmark

Kamgarpour, Maryam  

EPFL

Date Issued

2024-09

Publisher

Elsevier

Published in
Electric Power Systems Research
Special issue title

Proceedings of the 23rd Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC 2024)

Volume

234

Article Number

110693

URL

Data availability

https://github.com/AregaGetaneh/Day_ahead-bidding-strategy
Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SYCAMORE  
FunderFunding(s)Grant NumberGrant URL

European Union

Marie Skłodowska-Curie

899987

Available on Infoscience
December 20, 2024
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/242398
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