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Unbiased Likelihood Estimation of Wright–Fisher Diffusion Processes

García-Pareja, Celia
•
Nobile, Fabio  
Hinrichs, A.
•
Kritzer, P.
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July 13, 2024
Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods. MCQMC 2022
15th International Conference on Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Scientific Computing

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright–Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation techniques that are of special interest for diffusion processes defined on a bounded domain, where numerical methods typically fail to remain within the required boundaries. We start by building unbiased likelihood estimators for scalar diffusions and later present an extension to the multidimensional case. Consistency results of our proposed estimator are also presented and the performance of our method is illustrated through numerical examples.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.1007/978-3-031-59762-6_12
Author(s)
García-Pareja, Celia
•
Nobile, Fabio  
Editors
Hinrichs, A.
•
Kritzer, P.
•
Pillichshammer, F.
Date Issued

2024-07-13

Publisher

Springer Cham

Journal
Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods. MCQMC 2022
DOI of the book
10.1007/978-3-031-59762-6
ISBN of the book

978-3-031-59761-9

Series title/Series vol.

Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics; 460

ISSN (of the series)

2194-1009

Start page

259

End page

275

Subjects

Monte Carlo maximum likelihood

•

Unbiased likelihood estimation

•

Inference for diffusion processes

•

Wright–Fisher diffusions

•

Exact simulation of diffusions

URL

Link to arXiv

https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.05390
Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
CSQI  
UPBITBOL  
Event nameEvent acronymEvent placeEvent date
15th International Conference on Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Scientific Computing

Linz, Austria

2022-07-17 - 2022-07-21

Available on Infoscience
November 11, 2024
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/195642.2
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