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research article

An Algorithm for Testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis

Boboc, Ioana-Andreea
•
Dinica, Mihai-Cristian
2013
Plos One

The objective of this research is to examine the efficiency of EUR/USD market through the application of a trading system. The system uses a genetic algorithm based on technical analysis indicators such as Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Filter that gives buying and selling recommendations to investors. The algorithm optimizes the strategies by dynamically searching for parameters that improve profitability in the training period. The best sets of rules are then applied on the testing period. The results show inconsistency in finding a set of trading rules that performs well in both periods. Strategies that achieve very good returns in the training period show difficulty in returning positive results in the testing period, this being consistent with the efficient market hypothesis (EMH).

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1371/journal.pone.0078177
Web of Science ID

WOS:000326270700082

Author(s)
Boboc, Ioana-Andreea
Dinica, Mihai-Cristian
Date Issued

2013

Publisher

Public Library of Science

Published in
Plos One
Volume

8

Issue

10

Article Number

e78177

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
OES  
Available on Infoscience
December 9, 2013
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/97692
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