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  4. A Variational Inference Approach to Learning Multivariate Wold Processes
 
conference paper

A Variational Inference Approach to Learning Multivariate Wold Processes

Etesami, Jalal  
•
Trouleau, William  
•
Kiyavash, Negar  
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2021
24Th International Conference On Artificial Intelligence And Statistics (Aistats)
24th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS)

Temporal point-processes are often used for mathematical modeling of sequences of discrete events with asynchronous timestamps. We focus on a class of temporal point-process models called multivariate Wold processes (MWP). These processes are well suited to model real-world communication dynamics. Statistical inference on such processes often requires learning their corresponding parameters using a set of observed timestamps. In this work, we relax some of the restrictive modeling assumptions made in the state-of-the-art and introduce a Bayesian approach for inferring the parameters of MWP. We develop a computationally efficient variational inference algorithm that allows scaling up the approach to high-dimensional processes and long sequences of observations. Our experimental results on both synthetic and real-world datasets show that our proposed algorithm outperforms existing methods.

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trouleau2021a-infoscience.pdf

Type

Postprint

Version

http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa

Access type

openaccess

License Condition

CC BY

Size

1.05 MB

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Adobe PDF

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22877c955671d3c6ee74c23cd3a12847

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