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  4. Dynamic Valuation of Delinquent Credit-Card Accounts
 
working paper

Dynamic Valuation of Delinquent Credit-Card Accounts

Weber, Thomas A.  
•
Chehrazi, N.
2012

This paper presents a model for the estimation of the repayment process of delinquent credit-card accounts conditional on account-specific and macroeconomic information. Based on this model we construct a dynamic collectability score (DCS). The DCS estimates the account-specific probability of collecting a given percentage of outstanding debt over a chosen time horizon. It also allows for account valuation and estimation of the future repayment frequency. The method is tested using a large set of account-level repayment data. The improvements in classification and prediction performance compared to standard bank-internal scoring methods are significant.

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Type
working paper
Author(s)
Weber, Thomas A.  
Chehrazi, N.
Date Issued

2012

Publisher

EPFL-CDM-MTEI

Subjects

account valuation

•

consumer credit

•

collectability scoring

•

credit collections

•

maximum-likelihood estimation

•

self-exciting point process

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
OES  
Available on Infoscience
November 7, 2012
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/86711
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