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research article

Local estimation of the global horizontal irradiance using an all-sky camera

Scolari, Enrica  
•
Sossan, Fabrizio  
•
Haure-Touze, Mathia
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October 1, 2018
Solar Energy

Localised and high-frequency measurements of the global horizontal irradiance (GHI) are a key information to assess the level of power production of distributed photovoltaic generation. The paper presents a supervised machine learning-based procedure to estimate the GHI using images obtained from an all-sky camera installed at ground level. The training phase consists, at first, in extracting a large set of features from historical images and sub-selecting them using principal component analysis (PCA). The set of selected features is used to train an artificial neural network (ANN) considering the clear-sky index as the estimated variable and output of the ANN. Then, the same procedure is augmented by considering features from satellites images (i.e., SEVIRI thermal channels). The output of the proposed estimator is compared against ground truth measurements from a pyranometer located in the proximity of the camera and benchmarked against state-of-the-art Heliosat-2 estimations. The performance assessment is presented for four different periods of the year, and for three different time resolutions (i.e., 1, 5, and 15 min). Results show that the estimator based only on images features outperforms the others, and improves the Heliosat-2 estimations by 20-45% (relative improvement in terms of normalized root mean square error).

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.solener.2018.08.042
Web of Science ID

WOS:000452940800119

Author(s)
Scolari, Enrica  
•
Sossan, Fabrizio  
•
Haure-Touze, Mathia
•
Paolone, Mario  
Date Issued

2018-10-01

Publisher

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD

Published in
Solar Energy
Volume

173

Start page

1225

End page

1235

Subjects

Energy & Fuels

•

irradiance estimation

•

all-sky camera

•

satellite images

•

image processing

•

feature selection

•

solar photovoltaic

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solar-radiation

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self-consumption

•

model

•

mcclear

•

systems

•

level

Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
DESL  
Available on Infoscience
December 26, 2018
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/153191
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