Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Conferences, Workshops, Symposiums, and Seminars
  4. Uncertainty quantification in groundwater volume predictions from seismic data using neural networks
 
conference paper

Uncertainty quantification in groundwater volume predictions from seismic data using neural networks

Khalili, M.
•
Göransson, P.
•
Hesthaven, J. S.  
Show more
2024
30th European Meeting of Environmental and Engineering Geophysics, Held at the Near Surface Geoscience Conference and Exhibition 2024, NSG 2024
30 European Meeting of Environmental and Engineering Geophysics

Optimum groundwater management is important for addressing the global challenges of water scarcity, especially in arid regions. This study demonstrates the application of synthetic data combined with seismic methods to quantify water volumes in a controlled sand pool environment, mimicking a subsurface aquifer. Utilizing seismic simulations, we employ the nodal discontinuous Galerkin method to generate data reflecting the propagation of seismic waves through a three-dimensional poroviscoelastic-viscoelastic medium. These data are then analyzed using fully connected neural networks optimized through hyperparameter tuning to predict the water volume from seismic signatures accurately. The approach incorporates Deep Evidential Regression, which quantifies two main types of uncertainties: aleatoric, resulting from measurement errors, and epistemic, resulting from inadequate model knowledge. This dual uncertainty quantification enhances the reliability and interpretability of the water volume predictions, providing a robust framework for groundwater monitoring. Our results indicate that the aleatoric uncertainties are nearly consistent but, epistemic uncertainties are large for higher values of water volume suggesting the possibility of adding more data for model improvement.

  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
conference paper
DOI
10.3997/2214-4609.202420086
Scopus ID

2-s2.0-85214812532

Author(s)
Khalili, M.

Itä-Suomen yliopisto

Göransson, P.

The Royal Institute of Technology (KTH)

Hesthaven, J. S.  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Heinonen, S.

Helsingin Yliopisto

Pasanen, A.

Geologian Tutkimuskeskus

Vauhkonen, M.

Itä-Suomen yliopisto

Lähivaara, T.

Itä-Suomen yliopisto

Date Issued

2024

Publisher

European Association of Geoscientists and Engineers, EAGE

Published in
30th European Meeting of Environmental and Engineering Geophysics, Held at the Near Surface Geoscience Conference and Exhibition 2024, NSG 2024
ISBN of the book

9789462825055

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

Event nameEvent acronymEvent placeEvent date
30 European Meeting of Environmental and Engineering Geophysics

Helsinki, Finland

2024-09-08 - 2024-09-12

Available on Infoscience
January 26, 2025
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/244772
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés