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research article

Statistical accuracy for estimations of large wood blockage in a reservoir environment

Furlan, Paloma  
•
Pfister, Michael
•
Matos, Jorge
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June 1, 2020
Environmental Fluid Mechanics

The blockage of weirs or bridges by in-stream wood can reduce the flood discharge capacity, leading to hazardous situations. To assess the related risk, blocking probabilities quantifications are needed. However, large wood has a random behaviour and it is challenging to accurately evaluate the blockage process and the influence of different large wood or hydraulic parameters properly. Investigations of large wood processes with physical models have been performed in the past but some contradictions regarding the coherence of the results has been found. Herein, a compromise between statistical accuracy and experimental repetitions is presented. The influence of a different number of experimental repetitions on the accuracy of blocking probabilities estimations of groups of stems in an ogee crested weir equipped with piers was systematically evaluated. Statistically justified numbers of repetitions for achieving maximum standard errors of 0.20 are presented for different semi-congested LW transport regimes. The bootstrap re-sampling technique was applied to generalize the results obtained experimentally. It was found that an increasing number of stems may decrease the randomness of the blockage process. This observation allowed to decrease the number of experimental repetitions needed to achieve equal levels of statistical accuracy compared to individual stem experiments.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1007/s10652-019-09708-7
Web of Science ID

WOS:000536735900007

Author(s)
Furlan, Paloma  
Pfister, Michael
Matos, Jorge
Amado, Conceicao
Schleiss, Anton J.  
Date Issued

2020-06-01

Publisher

SPRINGER

Published in
Environmental Fluid Mechanics
Volume

20

Issue

3

Start page

579

End page

592

Subjects

Environmental Sciences

•

Mechanics

•

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

•

Oceanography

•

Water Resources

•

Environmental Sciences & Ecology

•

Mechanics

•

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

•

Oceanography

•

Water Resources

•

experimental repetitions

•

large wood

•

physical models

•

spillway blockage

•

statistical accuracy

•

debris

•

streams

•

transport

•

sensitivity

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
PL-LCH  
Available on Infoscience
June 14, 2020
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/169270
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