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  4. "Dice"-sion Making under Uncertainty: When Can a Random Decision Reduce Risk?
 
research article

"Dice"-sion Making under Uncertainty: When Can a Random Decision Reduce Risk?

Delage, Erick
•
Kuhn, Daniel  
•
Wiesemann, Wolfram
2019
Management Science

Stochastic programming and distributionally robust optimization seek deterministic decisions that optimize a risk measure, possibly in view of the most adverse distribution in an ambiguity set. We investigate under which circumstances such deterministic decisions are strictly outperformed by random decisions which depend on a randomization device producing uniformly distributed samples that are independent of all uncertain factors affecting the decision problem. We find that in the absence of distributional ambiguity, deterministic decisions are optimal if both the risk measure and the feasible region are convex, or alternatively if the risk measure is mixture-quasiconcave. We show that several classes of risk measures, such as mean (semi-)deviation and mean (semi-)moment measures, fail to be mixture-quasiconcave and can therefore give rise to problems in which the decision maker benefits from randomization. Under distributional ambiguity, on the other hand, we show that for any ambiguity averse risk measure there always exists a decision problem (with a nonconvex—e.g., mixed-integer—feasible region) in which a randomized decision strictly dominates all deterministic decisions.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1287/mnsc.2018.3108
Author(s)
Delage, Erick
Kuhn, Daniel  
Wiesemann, Wolfram
Date Issued

2019

Published in
Management Science
Volume

65

Issue

7

Start page

3282

End page

3301

Subjects

Stochastic programming

•

Risk measures

•

Distributionally robust optimization

•

Ambiguity aversion

•

Randomized decisions

Note

Available from Optimization Online

URL

URL

http://www.optimization-online.org/DB_HTML/2016/08/5582.html
Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
RAO  
Available on Infoscience
August 9, 2016
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/128461
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