Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Journal articles
  4. Climatological trends of mean and extreme daily precipitation in Arizona (USA)
 
research article

Climatological trends of mean and extreme daily precipitation in Arizona (USA)

Brandi, Aldo  
•
Balling, R. C.
•
Iniguez, P.
Show more
October 19, 2023
Journal Of Arid Environments

Precipitation in Arizona, USA, represents a fundamental resource for the needs of agriculture, people, and the environment. However, due to the risk associated with flash flooding, extreme precipitation also constitutes a natural hazard. Available research on precipitation in Arizona has been limited in scope and focus and there currently exists no comprehensive assessment of statewide, historical, mean, and extreme precipitation. We use daily precipitation records from 43 Global Historical Climate Network daily (GHCNd) weather stations to examine trends in mean and extreme precipitation across Arizona from 1950 to 2020. We use a suite of standardized precipitation indices and explore the statistical significance of historical changes at the annual, monthly, and seasonal scales. Our analysis returns a motley collection of results displaying a great degree of spatial variability and sensitivity to the temporal scale of analysis. Mean total precipitation at the statewide scale underwent a small decreasing trend of 0.15 mm year  1, with considerable interannual variability being a dominant feature. The majority of stations experienced no statistically significant change in extreme precipitation at the annual scale. Monsoon season mean precipitation followed a similar pattern to annual means, with an overall reduction of 0.14 mm year  1 across the state. One fourth of stations, all located at elevations lower than 650 m, recorded decreases in monsoon precipitation intensity. Winter season analysis presents a different picture, displaying a positive statewide trend of 0.11 mm year  1 in mean precipitation. One tenth of stations recorded increases in extreme precipitation intensity and decreases in the number of consecutive dry days. Results of our observational analysis indicate a lack of a clear consensus on the climatological trends of mean/ extreme precipitation in Arizona during the study period. Our findings are in contrast to those from other similarly arid areas across the world and highlight the role of regional differences in modulating the potential hydrometeorological impacts associated with climate change. However, while we do not find widespread, significant, modification in the spectrum of precipitation changes examined, the hydrologic system of the state has been - and will continue to be - impacted by the ongoing temperature increase associated with the buildup of greenhouse gases and continued population growth.

  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.jaridenv.2023.105083
Web of Science ID

WOS:001101327900001

Author(s)
Brandi, Aldo  
Balling, R. C.
Iniguez, P.
Georgescu, M.
Date Issued

2023-10-19

Publisher

Academic Press Ltd- Elsevier Science Ltd

Published in
Journal Of Arid Environments
Volume

219

Article Number

105083

Subjects

Life Sciences & Biomedicine

•

Arizona

•

Extreme Precipitation

•

Historical Precipitation

•

Observations

•

Regional Climate Change

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
URBES  
Available on Infoscience
February 19, 2024
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/204277
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés