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review article

A systematic review of machine learning classification methodologies for modelling passenger mode choice

Hillel, Tim  
•
Bierlaire, Michel  
•
Elshafie, Mohammed Z. E. B.
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March 1, 2021
Journal Of Choice Modelling

Machine Learning (ML) approaches are increasingly being investigated as an alternative to Random Utility Models (RUMs) for modelling passenger mode choice. These approaches have the potential to provide valuable insights into choice modelling research questions. However, the research and the methodologies used are fragmented. Whilst systematic reviews on RUMs for mode choice prediction have long existed and the methods have been well scrutinised for mode choice prediction, the same is not true for ML models. To address this need, this paper conducts a systematic review of ML methodologies for modelling passenger mode choice. The review analyses the methodologies employed within each study to (a) establish the state-of-research frameworks for ML mode choice modelling and (b) identify and quantify the prevalence of methodological limitations in previous studies.

A comprehensive search methodology across the three largest online publication databases is used to identify 574 unique records. These are screened for relevance, leaving 70 peer-reviewed articles containing 73 primary studies for data extraction. The studies are reviewed in detail to extract 17 attributes covering five research questions, concerning (i) classification techniques, (ii) datasets, (iii) performance estimation, (iv) hyper-parameter selection, and (v) model analysis.

The review identifies ten common methodological limitations. Five are determined to be methodological pitfalls, which are likely to introduce bias in the estimation of model performance. The remaining five are identified as areas for improvement, which may limit the achieved performance of the models considered. A further six general limitations are identified, which highlight gaps in knowledge for future work.

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Type
review article
DOI
10.1016/j.jocm.2020.100221
Web of Science ID

WOS:000621103700001

Author(s)
Hillel, Tim  
Bierlaire, Michel  
Elshafie, Mohammed Z. E. B.
Jin, Ying
Date Issued

2021-03-01

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCI LTD

Published in
Journal Of Choice Modelling
Volume

38

Article Number

100221

Subjects

Economics

•

Business & Economics

•

choice modelling

•

machine learning

•

classification

•

discrete choice models

•

neural networks

•

systematic review

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
TRANSP-OR  
Available on Infoscience
March 26, 2021
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/176496
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