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  4. Predicting Survey Response with Quotation-based Modeling: A Case Study on Favorability towards the United States
 
conference paper

Predicting Survey Response with Quotation-based Modeling: A Case Study on Favorability towards the United States

Amirshahi, Alireza  
•
Kirsch, Nicolas
•
Reymond, Jonathan
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January 1, 2023
2023 10Th Ieee Swiss Conference On Data Science, Sds
10th IEEE Swiss Conference on Data Science (SDS)

The acquisition of survey responses is a crucial component in conducting research aimed at comprehending public opinion. However, survey data collection can be arduous, time-consuming, and expensive, with no assurance of an adequate response rate. In this paper, we propose a pioneering approach for predicting survey responses by examining quotations using machine learning. Our investigation focuses on evaluating the degree of favorability towards the United States, a topic of interest to many organizations and governments. We leverage a vast corpus of quotations from individuals across different nationalities and time periods to extract their level of favorability. We employ a combination of natural language processing techniques and machine learning algorithms to construct a predictive model for survey responses. We investigate two scenarios: first, when no surveys have been conducted in a country, and second when surveys have been conducted but in specific years and do not cover all the years. Our experimental results demonstrate that our proposed approach can predict survey responses with high accuracy. Furthermore, we provide an exhaustive analysis of the crucial features that contributed to the model's performance. This study has the potential to impact survey research in the field of data science by substantially decreasing the cost and time required to conduct surveys while simultaneously providing accurate predictions of public opinion.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.1109/SDS57534.2023.00008
Web of Science ID

WOS:001046869800001

Author(s)
Amirshahi, Alireza  
Kirsch, Nicolas
Reymond, Jonathan
Baghersalimi, Saleh  
Date Issued

2023-01-01

Publisher

IEEE COMPUTER SOC

Publisher place

Los Alamitos

Published in
2023 10Th Ieee Swiss Conference On Data Science, Sds
ISBN of the book

979-8-3503-3875-1

Series title/Series vol.

Swiss Conference on Data Science

Start page

1

End page

8

Subjects

Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence

•

Computer Science, Information Systems

•

Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications

•

Computer Science

•

sentiment analysis

•

survey response prediction

•

quotation-based modeling

•

k-nearest neighbors

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
ESL  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
10th IEEE Swiss Conference on Data Science (SDS)

Zurich, SWITZERLAND

Jun 22-23, 2023

Available on Infoscience
September 11, 2023
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/200423
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